Wednesday, October 19, 2011
Monday, October 17, 2011
Seminar DDFX untuk pelanggan DDFX.
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Tarikh : 22 Oct 2011 (Sabtu)
Masa : 9:00 a.m - 1.00 p.m
Tempat : Bilik Sakura
INTERNATIONAL YOUTH CENTRE (IYC)
Jalan Yaacob Latiff,
Bandar Tun Razak,56000
Cheras, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Tempat masih terbuka sehingga 20 Oct 2011
Tuesday, October 11, 2011
Note: Index readings above 50 indicate optimism; below 50 indicate pessimism.
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index has a good track record of foreshadowing the confidence indicators put out later each month by the University of Michigan and The Conference Board. IBD/TIPP conducted the national poll of 909 adults from October 1 to October 5. The margin of error is +/-3.5 percentage points.
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index has three key components, two of which improved in October.
• The Six-Month Economic Outlook, a measure of how consumers feel about the economy’s prospects in the next six months, decreased 0.2 points, or 0.5%, to 36.7. The sub-index was 32.1 when the economy entered the last recession in December 2007.
• The Personal Financial Outlook, a measure of how Americans feel about their own finances in the next six months, improved 0.3 points, or 0.6%, to reach 51.9.
• Confidence in Federal Economic Policies, a proprietary IBD/TIPP measure of views on how government economic policies are working gained 0.9 points, or 2.9%, to reach 32.2.
"Consumer confidence is still in a vulnerable territory, despite its modest improvement in October," said Raghavan Mayur, president of TIPP, a unit of TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence, IBD's polling partner.
“Americans remain glum about their economic future,” said Terry Jones, associate editor of Investor’s Business Daily. “The repeated failure of government efforts to stimulate the economy has left many perplexed and angry at the soaring costs and lack of results. In particular, the lack of any meaningful jobs recovery has created a feeling among many that Washington politicians are out of touch with economic reality.”
This month, three of the 21 demographic groups that IBD/TIPP tracks were above 50 on the Economic Optimism Index. Thirteen groups increased on the index.
On the Economic Outlook component, all of the 21 groups that IBD/TIPP tracks scored in pessimistic territory. Eleven groups improved in October.
On the Personal Financial component, fifteen of the groups IBD/TIPP tracks scored in optimistic territory. Eight groups declined on the component and thirteen improved.
On the Federal Policies component, all of the 21 demographic groups tracked were below 50. Thirteen groups advanced on the component, seven declined and one did not change.
* * *
ABOUT THE IBD/TIPP POLL
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index is the earliest take on consumer confidence each month and predicts with 80% reliability monthly changes in sentiment in well-known polls by The Conference Board and the University of Michigan. The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index is based on a survey of 900-plus adults chosen at random nationwide. The poll is generally conducted in the first week of the month.
For more information, go to www.tipponline.com
ABOUT INVESTOR'S BUSINESS DAILY (IBD)
Founded in 1984, Investor's Business Daily helps new and seasoned investors safely build financial security.
Using the proprietary CAN SLIM® Investing System and time-tested signals based on a landmark study of over 130 years of market history, IBD provides alerts to emerging high-growth stocks and major changes in market direction. Created by legendary investor and IBD founder William J. O’Neil, the CAN SLIM System has been the #1 growth strategy from 1998 – 2010, gaining 2,487.3% vs. 29.6% for the S&P 500 in an independent, real-time study by the American Association of Individual Investors.*
Investors of all levels use IBD’s flagship newspaper (print and digital editions) and award-winning website, Investors.com, to spot early market trends, screen for winning stocks and get extensive, step-by-step training. IBD also offers investment workshops across the country, and provides both subscribers and non-subscribers with a free year-long investing course through the IBD Meetup program – America’s largest network of Meetup.com investing groups. In partnership with TechnoMetrica, IBD also conducts IBD/TIPP polls, including the nationally-recognized IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index. IBD/TIPP was the most accurate pollster in both the 2008 and 2004 presidential elections, according to final FEC-certified results of those elections. IBD is also recognized for its political and economic commentary and is home to editorial cartoonist Michael Ramirez, winner of the 2008 and 1994 Pulitzer Prize.
*The American Association of Individual Investors' independent "real time" study of over 50 leading strategies found IBD’s CAN SLIM Investment System achieved +2487.3% vs. S&P 500 +29.6% for the past 13 years (January 1998 through December 31 2010, AAII Stock Screen).
IBD/TIPP Poll © 2011 Investor’s Business Daily Inc. and TechnoMetrica Inc.
Investor's Business Daily, IBD, and CAN SLIM and their corresponding logos are registered trademarks of Investor’s Business Daily, Inc. © 2000-2011 Investor's Business Daily, Inc. All rights reserved. - http://www.tipponline.com/economy/consumer-confidence-edges-up-americans-still-pessimistic
- High Probability Trading Setups for the Currency Market
2. THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND. Do not buck the trend. When the market is bullish, go long. On the reverse, if the market is bearish, you short. Never go against the trend.
3. FOCUS ON CAPITAL PRESERVATION. The most important step that you must take when you deal with your trading capital. You main goal is to preserve the capital. Do not trade more than 10% of your deposit in a single trade. For example, if your total deposit is $10,000, every trade should limit to $1000. If you don't do this, you'll be out of the market very soon.
4. KNOW WHEN TO CUT LOSS. If a trade goes against you, sell it and let go. Do not hold on to a bad trade hoping that the price will go up. Most likely, you end up losing more money. Before you enter a trade, decide your stop loss price, a price where you must sell when the trade turns sour. It depends on your risk profile as of how much you should set for the stop loss.
5. TAKE PROFIT WHEN THE TRADE IS GOOD. Before entering a trade, decide how much profit you are willing to take. When a trade turns out to be good, take the profit. You can take profit all at one go, or take profit in stages. When you've recovered your trading cost, you have nothing to lose. Sit tight and watch the profit run.
6. BE EMOTIONLESS. Two biggest emotions in trading: greed and fear. Do not let greed and fear influence your trade. Trading is a mechanical process and it's not for the emotional ones. As Dr. Alexander Elder said in his book Trading For A Living, if you sit in front of a successful trader and observe how he trades, you might not be able to tell whether he is making or losing money. That's how emotionally stable a successful trader is.
7. DO NOT TRADE BASED ON A TIP FROM A FRIEND OR BROKER. Trade only when you have done your own research and analysis. Be an informed trader.
8. KEEP A TRADING JOURNAL. When you buy a currency or stock, write down the reasons why you buy, and your feelings at that time. You do the same when you sell. Analyze and write down the mistakes you've made, as well as things that you've done right. By referring to your trading journal, you learn from your past mistakes. Improve on your mistakes, keep learning and keep improving.
9. WHEN IN DOUBT, STAY OUT. When you have doubt and not sure where the market or stock is going, stay on the sideline. Sometimes, doing nothing is the best thing to do.
10. DO NOT OVERTRADE. Ideally you should have 3-5 positions at a time. No more than that. If you have too many positions, you tend to be out of control and make emotional decisions when there is a change in market. Do not trade for the sake of trading.
When you in doubt, read the rules...
Within the first several minutes after opening, the market usually moves about or jumps somewhere abruptly. Experienced traders sometimes try to use their knowledge to forecast by the first market movements what trend is possible. But emotions will certainly play tricks with a newcomer. Be careful.
2. Undue hurry in taking profit
Well, you opened a long position. Then, after a couple of days, you saw how much money you had earned and closed the position with joy. But this movement, as you would have gathered later, was just the beginning of a powerful up-trend. So, if you would not haste, you could earn 10 times more money. Use Take Profit orders only on extraordinary occasions, when the resistance level is clearly seen. Normally, it is better to exit the market using Stop Loss and trailing stop.
3. Adding lots in a losing position
This is a reverse example: you opened a long position, but price decreased. You doggedly insist on that "it would still grow, I just opened the position too early" and add by buying more lots. But the price goes on dropping and twice your losses. Remember: You should only add lots to a profitable position.
4. Closing positions starting with the best one
If you have some long positions and the price starts to decrease, you often instinctively try to fix your profit first and only then close losing positions (or let it work until the Stop Loss triggers). This is a wrong tactics: If the whole market decreases, those positions will most probably lose that have already been unprofitable. But you have already had losses on them. This means you should close them first of all. Better positions will not fall so rapidly and, in case of a reversal, they will go up again. So do not haste to close a profitable position.
A typical situation for a newcomer: A losing position has just been closed - and he or she starts opening new positions enthusiastically to requite the wrongs. This will result in new losses, so do not return to trading immediately after having lost. Rest a little.
6. The most preferable positions
Approach reasonably to your positions: Do not care especially for some of them, for example, for those where you bought at the lowest price - every trader is usually especially proud of such trades. It is clear that you are puffed up with self-admiration, but be careful and do not carry such a brilliant position to zero or even to minus.
7. Trading by the principle of 'bought for ever'
You were working on a relatively short period of time, opened up, and prices went up tremendously. And you say to yourself: "Aha, I've caught the start of a many years' up-trend", and hang this position "for ever". But things do not just happen: you either change essentially for much longer estimation periods or keep standard rules on your standard short period. Rules that will make you enter and quit the market even if there is a really powerful trend. Do not "marry" your position!
8. Closing of a profitable strategic position on the first day
Vice versa, if you trade not within a day, do not close a profitable position on the first day under no conditions. If even the price has been grown to a very high level, be patient: it can be higher tomorrow.
9. Closing a position when alerted to open an opposite position
Many trades with systems of continuous entering the market. These systems are always "inside of a position". This means, closing of a long position means for them opening of a short one. One can use such positions, but they must be closed earlier: the signal to close must be of higher priority than the signal to open an opposite position.
You should not trade if you are not sure of your previous situation assessment. Having said to yourself "I'm sick with vague doubts", you should better close all your positions and reanalyze the situation. Or go for a walk. The latter recommendation is actual in all difficult cases, by the way. It helps for all diseases - try it yourself!